COVID Hospital Admissions in Los Angeles County Are Declining. Will We Ignore the Mask Mandate?

COVID Hospital Admissions in Los Angeles County Are Declining.

A health official said Thursday that the rate of COVID-19-positive patients admitted to hospitals in Los Angeles County has begun to slow, pushing back the estimate of when an indoor mask-wearing mandate might be reinstated, with such a move possibly averted if admission numbers plateau or begin to drop.


The pace of rise of COVID-positive individuals has started to slow, according to Dr. Paul Simon, chief scientific officer at the county Department of Public Health. According to Simon, the current seven-day average of new hospital admissions for patients infected with the virus is 84 per day, a little increase from 83 the previous week. For the previous week, the rate of hospital admissions was 7.3 per 100,000 population. That was the same rate as the previous week, bringing a stop to a consistent pattern of growth that has raised the prospect of a new countywide universal indoor mask requirement. The county would shift from the "medium" category of viral activity to the "high" category if the rate of new hospital admissions reached 10 per 100,000 population, according to CDC criteria. A new indoor mask requirement will be introduced if the county achieves the high threshold and remains there for two weeks.

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County health experts had predicted that if the county's pace of rise continued, it would reach the "By the end of June or early July, you should be in the "high" category. However, with the pace slowing, Simon believes the county will fall short of its goal ""high" category until at least the middle of July.

He highlighted that the county might avoid reaching that threshold if virus transmission slows, resulting in a decline in hospitalizations.

While viral transmission remains high across the county, the average number of local new cases has started to level out, if not fall. According to Simon, the current daily rate of new cases is at 4,400, a 6% decrease over the previous week.

However, the case numbers are likely to be artificially low since many individuals depend on take-home COVID tests, the results of which are not always submitted to the county and hence not included in the official total.

Simon commended citizens who continued to use infection-control measures, such as masks, despite the lack of a requirement. Such personal actions, he claims, have an impact on the general infection rate.

"I realise the public is tired of hearing our repeated messages, but it is critical to be strategic to the maximum extent feasible," he added. "Wear the mask in situations where you know there is a higher danger of viral transmission."

On Thursday, the county reported additional 5,621 COVID infections, bringing the county's total for the pandemic to 3,082,401. Another 12 virus-related fatalities were recorded, bringing the total number of local deaths to 32,283.

As of Thursday, the average daily percentage of those testing positive for the virus was 11.6 percent. The rate has been rising, most likely owing to a significant decrease in the total volume of testing done each day now that schools are out of session for the summer.

According to state data, 688 COVID-positive individuals were admitted to county hospitals on Thursday, up from 679 on Wednesday. The number of patients in critical care increased to 69 from 67 the day before.

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